Clarksville, TN 37040
Last Updated: 08/01/14 09:43:12 EDT
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Hurricane Summary POSTED: August 1, 2014 9:01 a.m. Bertha Continues Steady March Towards Windward Islands and Puerto Rico As of 8 a.m. AST, Tropical Storm Bertha was located about 110 miles east-northest of Barbados, moving west-northwest at about 20 mph. Tropical Storm Bertha has continued a steady west-northwest march Thursday night, towards the Windward Islands. Convection has continue to attempt to wrap around the storm however, it seems to still be struggling slightly. With relatively low shear in place and plenty of warm waters to work with, some minor strengthening is still possible in the next 24 hours. Despite this, Bertha is not expected to become a hurricane at this time. Bertha will now most likely continue as a tropical storm the next few days and will track into the northern Windward Islands Friday evening then pass over or near Puerto Rico Saturday into Saturday evening. This will bring gusty winds and showery rainfall over the northern Windward Islands and the Leeward Islands Friday night and into the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico Saturday. Tropical storm warnings are in effect for Barbados, St. Lucia, Dominica, Puerto Rico, Vieques, Culebra, and both the U.S. and British Virgin Islands. A tropical storm watch is in effect for St. Vincent and the Grenadines. Tropical storm conditions are first expected to reach the closest Windward Islands midday Friday. The Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico will likely see tropical storm conditions on Saturday. In general, rainfall of 1-3 inches is expected with isolated amounts to 5 inches across the Windward Islands. Some locations in eastern Puerto Rico will be at risk for even higher amounts, approaching 8 inches. This rain can cause flooding and mudslides. Additionally, higher waves and surf will impact areas near the track of Bertha. The storm will track over or just east of the Turks and Caicos Islands during Sunday and near the eastern Bahamas Monday. The more reliable computer forecasts show Bertha staying a low-end tropical storm through early next week. This is due to more hostile upper level winds beyond Friday night, the overall dry air, and the interaction with land masses along its path. No major changes in strength of the system are forecast in the near term, and it could eventually weaken back below tropical storm status. The track of Bertha should be far enough to the east of the United States to have no impacts on Florida or South Carolina through Monday. The coast of North Carolina may come into play as far as some effects sometime Tuesday or Tuesday night, but that is something to watch for now. The rest of the Atlantic Basin remains relatively quiet. By AccuWeather Meteorologist Evan Duffey


 
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